UC Davis
Men
-
Women
2016
-
2017 -
2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
552 |
Sarah Anderson |
SO |
20:55 |
965 |
Julia Lemak |
SO |
21:26 |
1,051 |
Megan MacGregor |
JR |
21:31 |
1,054 |
Haley Adel |
SO |
21:31 |
1,295 |
Christine Bayliss |
SO |
21:47 |
1,912 |
Alexis Ballman |
FR |
22:27 |
2,417 |
Lauren Powers |
SO |
23:08 |
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National Rank |
#162 of 348 |
West Region Rank |
#22 of 40 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
0.0% |
Most Likely Finish |
20th at Regional |
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
65.8% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Sarah Anderson |
Julia Lemak |
Megan MacGregor |
Haley Adel |
Christine Bayliss |
Alexis Ballman |
Lauren Powers |
UCR Invitational |
09/16 |
1156 |
20:59 |
21:22 |
21:03 |
21:37 |
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23:10 |
23:16 |
Penn State National Open |
10/13 |
1189 |
20:58 |
21:12 |
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22:02 |
21:34 |
22:37 |
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Big West Championship |
10/28 |
1168 |
20:40 |
24:18 |
22:01 |
21:23 |
22:37 |
22:08 |
22:50 |
West Region Championships |
11/10 |
1159 |
20:45 |
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21:39 |
21:20 |
21:37 |
22:06 |
23:17 |
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
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24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.0% |
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Region Championship |
100% |
20.0 |
594 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
3.9 |
14.2 |
22.0 |
23.7 |
14.3 |
9.8 |
5.2 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results
Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
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22 |
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24 |
25 |
Sarah Anderson |
79.4 |
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Julia Lemak |
115.8 |
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Megan MacGregor |
124.2 |
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Haley Adel |
124.3 |
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Christine Bayliss |
145.8 |
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Alexis Ballman |
198.3 |
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Lauren Powers |
233.8 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
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No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
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13 |
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12 |
13 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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14 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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14 |
15 |
0.8% |
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0.8 |
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15 |
16 |
1.0% |
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1.0 |
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16 |
17 |
3.9% |
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3.9 |
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18 |
14.2% |
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14.2 |
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22.0% |
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22.0 |
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20 |
23.7% |
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23.7 |
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21 |
14.3% |
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14.3 |
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21 |
22 |
9.8% |
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9.8 |
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23 |
5.2% |
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5.2 |
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23 |
24 |
2.9% |
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2.9 |
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24 |
25 |
1.6% |
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1.6 |
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25 |
26 |
0.5% |
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0.5 |
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26 |
27 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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27 |
28 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
36 |
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36 |
37 |
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37 |
38 |
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38 |
39 |
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39 |
40 |
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40 |
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Total |
100% |
0.0% |
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100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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0.0 |